City – “a Point of Economic Growth and Social Development”. or Otherwise?

E. Oleinik, A. Zakharova
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Abstract

Background/Objectives: city has been viewed as a place of location of productive forces; therefore, it attracts investment and skilled personnel. At the same time, urban sprawl causes multiple acute social issues. The main city development concepts are given and methods of evaluation of the city socioeconomic development have been analyzed. Methods: the main steps of the city dynamics analysis have been suggested where methods of correlation and regression analysis are used to rank the main factors of sustainable development. Findings: it is established that the social factor is the most significant and positive factor having an impact on the gross municipal product, with the investment lag being minimum three years. Applications/Improvements: to ensure the increase in the gross municipal product the socio-economic interests of local residents should be coordinated with the interests of local businesses which is, first of all, expressed in the municipal socio-economic policy. Areas of interaction between the main structural elements of the city system have been identified. Keywords—City development concept, Econometric model, “convolution” of indicators, Sustainable development, Growth of economic indicators.
城市——“经济增长和社会发展的一个点”。或其他?
背景/目标:城市一直被视为生产力的集中地;因此,它吸引了投资和技术人才。与此同时,城市扩张引发了多重尖锐的社会问题。提出了城市发展的主要理念,分析了城市社会经济发展的评价方法。方法:提出了城市动态分析的主要步骤,运用相关分析和回归分析的方法对影响城市可持续发展的主要因素进行排序。研究发现:社会因素是对城市生产总值影响最显著、最积极的因素,投资滞后最小为3年。应用/改进:为了确保城市生产总值的增长,当地居民的社会经济利益应与当地企业的利益相协调,这首先体现在城市的社会经济政策中。确定了城市系统主要结构要素之间的相互作用区域。关键词:城市发展理念,计量经济模型,指标“卷积”,可持续发展,经济指标增长
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