Research on The Relationship between Volume and Price of China’s Stock Market Based on Markov Mechanism Mixed Copula Model

Huajian Luo, Y. Zou, Xin Zhang
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Abstract

The GK volatility is introduced, and the construction mechanism is used to transform the mixed Copula model to study the tail correlation between the volume and price of the stock market under different mechanisms. 5minute high-frequency price and trading volume data of the Shanghai Stock Exchange(SSE) and Shenzhen Stock Exchange(SZSE) were used for empirical research. Research shows that the tail of the volume-price relationship between the two stock markets is asymmetric, and the upper tail is clearly larger than the lower tail. The mixed copula of mechanism conversion can better describe the tail correlation of the two stock markets; the tail of the volume-price relationship has the high correlation and low correlation.In both states, the upper correlation transition probability and duration are significantly greater than the low correlation, and the two mechanisms alternate. The tails of the two market volumeprice relationships are time-varying.
基于马尔可夫机制混合Copula模型的中国股市量价关系研究
引入GK波动率,利用构建机制对混合Copula模型进行变换,研究了不同机制下股票市场量价的尾部相关性。采用上海证券交易所(SSE)和深圳证券交易所(SZSE)的5分钟高频价格和交易量数据进行实证研究。研究表明,两个股市的量价关系的尾部是不对称的,上尾明显大于下尾。机制转换的混合联结能更好地描述两股市场的尾部相关性;量价关系的尾部有高相关性和低相关性。在两种状态下,高相关跃迁概率和持续时间均显著大于低相关,且两种机制交替存在。两种市场量价关系的尾部是随时间变化的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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