ESTIMASI PRODUKSI PADI DENGAN ANALISIS CITRA SATELIT LANDSAT 8 DI KABUPATEN KLUNGKUNG PROVINSI BALI

Made Arya Bhaskara Putra, I. W. Nuarsa, I. M. S. Adnyana
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Abstract

Rice crop is one of the important commodities that must always be available, so estimation of rice production becomes very important to do before harvesting time to know the food availability. The technology that can be used is remote sensing technology using Landsat 8 Satellite. The aims of this study were (1) to obtain the model of estimation of rice production with Landsat 8 image analysis, and (2) to know the accuracy of the model that obtained by Landsat 8. The research area is located in three sub-districts in Klungkung regency. Analysis in this research was conducted by single band analysis and analysis of vegetation index of satellite image of Landsat 8. Estimation model of rice production was developed by finding the relationship between satellite image data and rice production data. The final stage is the accuracy test of the rice production estimation model, with t test and regression analysis. The results showed: (1) estimation of rice production can be calculated between 67 to 77 days after planting; (2) there was a positive correlation between NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) vegetation index value with rice yield; (3) the model of rice production estimation is y = 2.0442e1.8787x (x is NDVI value of Landsat 8 and y is rice production); (4) The results of the model accuracy test showed that the obtained model is suitable to predict rice production with accuracy level is 89.29% and standard error of production estimation is + 0.443 ton/ha. Based on research results, it can be concluded that Landsat 8 Satellite image can be used to estimate rice production and the accuracy level is 89.29%. The results are expected to be a reference in estimating rice production in Klungkung Regency.
水稻作物是重要的商品之一,必须始终保持供应,因此在收获前对水稻产量进行估计以了解粮食供应情况变得非常重要。可以使用的技术是利用Landsat 8卫星的遥感技术。本研究的目的是:(1)利用Landsat 8图像分析获得水稻产量估算模型;(2)了解Landsat 8获得的模型的精度。研究区位于九龙县的三个街道。本研究采用单波段分析和Landsat 8卫星影像植被指数分析进行分析。通过寻找卫星影像数据与水稻产量数据之间的关系,建立了水稻产量估算模型。最后是水稻产量估计模型的准确性检验,采用t检验和回归分析。结果表明:(1)播种后67 ~ 77 d可估算水稻产量;(2)植被指数NDVI值与水稻产量呈正相关;(3)水稻产量估算模型为y = 2.0442e1.8787x (x为Landsat 8 NDVI值,y为水稻产量);(4)模型精度检验结果表明,所建立的模型适用于水稻产量预测,精度水平为89.29%,产量估计标准误差为+ 0.443 t /ha。研究结果表明,Landsat 8卫星影像可用于水稻产量估算,精度为89.29%。研究结果可作为估计昆明市水稻产量的参考。
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