Day-ahead scheduling for model predictive power generation based on interval prediction of photovoltaics — generalization to multiple generators

M. Koike, Yoshihiro Tagawa, T. Ishizaki, T. Sadamoto, J. Imura
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to obtain a day-ahead schedule of model predictive power generation for multiple generators considering the uncertainty of PV power and demand prediction. Expressing the prediction uncertainty as interval prediction, we calculate the regulating capacity of multiple generators that is sufficient to tolerate a given amount of prediction uncertainty. The regulating capacity is decided by solving an interval valued allocation problem. We give a solution by taking an approach based on the monotonicity analysis.
基于光伏发电区间预测的模型预测发电日前调度——多机推广
本研究的目的是考虑光伏发电功率和需求预测的不确定性,得到多台发电机组的模型预测发电量的日前计划。将预测不确定性表示为区间预测,计算出足以承受给定预测不确定性量的多发电机调节能力。通过求解区间值分配问题来确定调节容量。我们用基于单调性分析的方法给出了一个解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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