The future of computing technology

R. Reddy
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Summary form only as given. By 2000, one can reasonably expect that a Giga PC capable of a billion operations per second with a billion bits of memory, and billion bit network bandwidth will be available for under $2000. Barring the creation of a cartel, or some yet unforeseen technological barrier, one should see a TeraPC before 2015 and a PetaPC before 2030. The question is what will we do with all this power? How will it affect the way we live and work? Many things will hardly change. Our social systems, the food we eat, the clothes we wear and our mating rituals will hardly be affected. Others, such as the way we learn, the way we work and interact with each other should undergo profound changes. This paper provides one point of view on these topics.
计算技术的未来
只提供摘要形式。到2000年,人们可以合理地预计,一台每秒能进行10亿次操作、拥有10亿位内存和10亿位网络带宽的千兆个人电脑将以不到2000美元的价格出现。除非形成一个卡特尔,或者出现一些尚无法预见的技术障碍,否则我们应该能在2015年之前看到TeraPC,在2030年之前看到PetaPC。问题是我们要用这些力量做什么?它将如何影响我们的生活和工作方式?许多事情几乎不会改变。我们的社会制度、我们吃的食物、我们穿的衣服和我们的交配仪式几乎不会受到影响。其他的,比如我们学习的方式,我们工作的方式和相互交往的方式应该发生深刻的变化。本文就这些问题提供一种观点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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