The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Stock Yield

Xian Wang
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Abstract

: In recent years, China's stock market has developed rapidly, but there is still a certain gap compared with western mature market. The stability of China's stock market is insufficient and the fluctuation range is large. An important reason for this phenomenon is that investors in the market are often in an irrational state, and there are a lot of irrational behaviour in the market. Therefore, this paper establishes a VAR model to study the relationship between investor sentiment and stock yield. Among them, the yield of the Shanghai Composite Index represents the yield of the stock market, and the comprehensive index of investor sentiment is constructed through principal component analysis. The results show that: (1) there is a significant interaction between stock yield and investor sentiment in China in the short term, and stock yield is less affected by investor sentiment than the investor sentiment is affected by stock yield. (2) with the passage of time, the impact of investor sentiment on stock yield gradually decreases.
投资者情绪对股票收益的影响
近年来,中国股票市场发展迅速,但与西方成熟市场相比仍有一定差距。中国股市稳定性不足,波动幅度较大。造成这种现象的一个重要原因是市场上的投资者往往处于非理性状态,市场上存在着大量的非理性行为。因此,本文建立VAR模型来研究投资者情绪与股票收益率的关系。其中,上证综合指数收益率代表股市收益率,通过主成分分析构建投资者情绪综合指数。研究结果表明:(1)短期内中国股票收益率与投资者情绪之间存在显著的交互作用,投资者情绪对股票收益率的影响小于投资者情绪对股票收益率的影响。(2)随着时间的推移,投资者情绪对股票收益率的影响逐渐减小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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