Analysis of The Impact of The Covid-19 Pandemic on The Performance of Indonesian Non Oil and Gas Exports

I. G. B. N. Diksa, Dewa Ayu Srijayanti
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Abstract

In 2020, Indonesia's exports decreased by 2.61 percent due to declining global and domestic demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. The decline in exports was not too deep due to the increase in non-oil exports by 16.73 percent, while non-oil exports fell by 10.10 percent. This shows the potential for non-oil exports to support the Indonesian economy during the pandemic. Seeing the impact of COVID-19 on export performance then used the ARIMA method. Based on the research, it was found that at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, Indonesia experienced a slump in export performance, especially non-oil and gas. This is due to various policies regarding restrictions on mobility.
新冠肺炎疫情对印尼非石油和天然气出口业绩的影响分析
2020年,由于2019冠状病毒病大流行期间全球和国内需求下降,印度尼西亚的出口下降了2.61%。非石油出口增加了16.73%,而非石油出口减少了10.10%,因此出口的减少幅度并不大。这显示了非石油出口在疫情期间支持印尼经济的潜力。了解COVID-19对出口业绩的影响后,使用了ARIMA方法。研究发现,在新冠肺炎大流行开始时,印尼的出口业绩大幅下滑,尤其是非石油和天然气出口。这是由于各种限制流动的政策造成的。
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