A Coupled Model of Natural Resource and Environmental Pollution for Catastrophe Studies

Liujun Chen, Shuang Wu
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Abstract

Based on the irrelevant classic model of natural resource and environmental pollution, two kinds of coupling relationship between natural resource and environmental pollution are introduced and a coupled dynamic model is developed. One coupling relationship is the extra death due to environment pollution besides natural death, and the other coupling relationship is the dependence of self-purification capacity on the quantity of natural resource. Simulation and mathematical analysis of the coupled model show that the type of bifurcation structure should be swallowtail catastrophe. The economic meanings of catastrophic characteristics are investigated.
灾害研究中自然资源与环境污染的耦合模型
在自然资源与环境污染不相关经典模型的基础上,引入了自然资源与环境污染的两种耦合关系,建立了自然资源与环境污染的耦合动态模型。一种耦合关系是自然死亡之外环境污染造成的额外死亡,另一种耦合关系是自净能力对自然资源量的依赖。耦合模型的仿真和数学分析表明,分岔结构类型应为燕尾突变。研究了灾变特征的经济意义。
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