A Comparative Analysis of COVID Forecasting by Using Various Machine Learning Methods

Abstract

Covid-19 emerged as one of the most infectious diseases in the history of mankind, affecting nearly 250 million people all over the world in just a short period. The pandemic which started in China, has now spread all over the world, taking about 5 million lives globally. This has also severely affected the economies of countries and has proved to be a burden on health care systems. Due to these reasons, forecasting the spread of the disease has become critical so that concerned government authorities in countries can have the chance to mitigate the spread and plan health care resources efficiently and properly. This makes it more important to have a reliable forecast so that resources can be planned ahead of time. In the present work, linear regression is used for time forecasting the spread of Covid-19 in Pakistan. Statistical parameters and metrics have been used to evaluate and validate the model. The results show that linear regression results are highly reliable, time efficient and accurate.