Pengembangan Sistem Prediksi Bantuan Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) Berbasis Machine Learning

Wayan Supriana, M. A. Raharja, I. Made, Satria Bimantara
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Abstract

The Family Hope Program (PKH) is a poverty alleviation program which is one of the government's strategies in reducing the poverty line. This program provides cash social assistance to poor families who are included in the list of beneficiary families with a focus on education and health. The purpose of implementing the PKH program is not only to reduce poverty and increase human resources but to break the poverty chain. The implementation of PKH in its realization experienced many obstacles that caused the program not to be on target, this was because the data verification process was not yet effective and was still carried out manually. A process is needed to digitize the distribution and realization of the family of hope program. Through this research, a system was developed that can predict the value of PKH beneficiary assistance. The system developed is based on machine learning with a prediction model using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Backpropagation learning algorithm. Parameters in the learning system using PKH assessment as many as 8 indicators from the data of PKH beneficiaries in Tabanan Regency. Based on the prediction model testing using two data treatments, namely with and without preprocessing data. Parameters treated with data on numeric attributes and categories provide optimal values with an R2 Score of 0.695824 with a number of hidden layers of 500 and a max epoch of 375
基于eccl的基于希望的家庭学习计划的预测系统的发展
家庭希望计划是政府降低贫困线的战略之一,是一项扶贫计划。该方案向列入受益家庭名单的贫困家庭提供现金社会援助,重点是教育和保健。实施PKH计划的目的不仅是为了减少贫困和增加人力资源,而且是为了打破贫困链。PKH的实施在其实现过程中经历了许多障碍,导致计划未能达到目标,这是因为数据验证过程尚未有效,仍然是手动进行的。希望之家计划的数字化分发和实现需要一个过程。通过本研究,开发了一个能够预测PKH受益人援助价值的系统。该系统以机器学习为基础,采用人工神经网络(ANN)和反向传播学习算法建立预测模型。使用PKH的学习系统中的参数评估多达8个指标,这些指标来自塔巴南县PKH受益人的数据。基于预测模型的检验采用两种数据处理方式,即有预处理和无预处理数据。用数字属性和类别数据处理的参数提供了R2得分为0.695824的最优值,隐藏层数为500,最大epoch为375
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