Combining heterogeneous features for time series prediction

Charles Chu, J. Brownlow, Qinxue Meng, Bin Fu, Ben Culbert, Min Zhu, Guandong Xu, Xue-zhong He
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Time series prediction is a challenging task in reality, and various methods have been proposed for it. However, only the historical series of values are exploited in most of existing methods. Therefore, the predictive models might be not effective in some cases, due to: (1) the historical series of values is not sufficient usually, and (2) features from heterogeneous sources such as the intrinsic features of data samples themselves, which could be very useful, are not take into consideration. To address these issues, we proposed a novel method in this paper which learns the predictive model based on the combination of dynamic features extracted from series of historical values and static features of data samples. To evaluate the performance of our proposed method, we compare it with linear regression and boosted trees, and the experimental results validate our method's superiority.
结合异构特征进行时间序列预测
时间序列预测在现实中是一项具有挑战性的任务,人们提出了各种方法来预测时间序列。然而,在大多数现有方法中,只利用了历史序列的值。因此,在某些情况下,预测模型可能不有效,因为:(1)历史序列的值通常是不够的,(2)来自异构源的特征,如数据样本本身的内在特征,可能非常有用,但没有考虑到。针对这些问题,本文提出了一种基于从历史值序列中提取的动态特征和数据样本的静态特征相结合的预测模型学习方法。为了评估我们提出的方法的性能,我们将其与线性回归和增强树进行了比较,实验结果验证了我们的方法的优越性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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