Low intensity conflict: the Russo-Georgian situation after 2008

Mariusz Rzeszutko
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Abstract

The signature of the so-called Six-Point Ceasefire Agreement and the Agreement on Measures Implementing to the Six-Point Plan by all parties of the Russian-Georgian conflict, resulted in the international arena considering the Russian-Georgian conflict as frozen. Successive indistinguishable politicians elected as a president and prime ministers have ensured that Georgia and its problem have been forgotten by the international arena and the global mass media. Recognition of such a status has only emboldened the Russian Federation, leading it to take further steps in the area of the occupied republics and, in the longer term, the Near Abroad space. Moreover, despite its official frozen status, the active phase of the conflict has been, and continues to be, maintained by the Russian Federation by keeping military bases and border guards on Georgia’s occupied territories, as well as by carrying out a delimitation process (so-called borderisation) with the defector separatist authorities. The spikes in tensions at the so-called unrecognized borders indicate that neither side wants to tolerate a further deterioration of the security situation in that area. In the face of recent events, including Russia’s renewed aggression on Ukraine, the protracted Russian-Georgian conflict, though of low intensity, should notably return to the agenda of Russia’s talks with the West.
低强度冲突:2008年后的俄罗斯-格鲁吉亚局势
俄罗斯-格鲁吉亚冲突各方签署了所谓的《六点停火协定》和《关于执行六点计划措施的协定》,导致国际舞台认为俄罗斯-格鲁吉亚冲突处于冻结状态。连续当选为总统和总理的毫无区别的政治家确保了格鲁吉亚及其问题被国际舞台和全球大众媒体所遗忘。承认这一地位只会使俄罗斯联邦更加大胆,导致它在被占领共和国地区采取进一步步骤,从长远来看,在近邻空间采取进一步步骤。此外,尽管俄罗斯处于官方冻结状态,但俄罗斯联邦一直并将继续维持冲突的活跃阶段,在格鲁吉亚被占领土上保留军事基地和边防警卫,并与叛逃的分离主义当局进行划界进程(所谓的边界化)。所谓未被承认的边界的紧张局势加剧表明,双方都不想容忍该地区的安全局势进一步恶化。面对最近发生的事件,包括俄罗斯对乌克兰的新一轮侵略,俄罗斯与格鲁吉亚之间旷日持久的冲突,尽管强度不高,但显然应该回到俄罗斯与西方会谈的议程上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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