Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Farmland Circulation Price at the County Level in China

X. Liang, Jingfeng Wang, Cheng Wang
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Abstract

: Farmland circulation is an important way to achieve moderate scale operation to ensure food security. Based on the spatial analysis and spatial econometric model, this paper studies the spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors of cultivated land transfer price at the county level in China from 2015 to 2020. The results revealed the following: (1) the circulation price of farmland generally shows paddy field > irrigated land > dry land > other cultivated land. The farmland circulation price in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain is always the highest, whereas that in Qinghai–Tibet Plateau is always the lowest. (2) The spatial pattern of farmland circulation price is high in the south and low in the north, presenting an inverted U-shaped structure from east to west in 2015, and high in the east and low in the west, presenting an inverted U-shaped structure from north to south in 2020. Moreover, the spatial agglomeration was enhanced. (3) With the development of land market and urbanization, the restriction of natural factors of cultivated land on the farmland circulation price weakens, while the socio-economic attribute of cultivated land constantly strengthens. Based on the results, this paper puts forward some suggestions to prevent the overcapitalization of land.
中国县域农地流转价格时空演变及影响因素
农地流转是实现适度规模经营、保障粮食安全的重要途径。基于空间分析和空间计量模型,研究了2015 - 2020年中国县域耕地流转价格的时空演变及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)农田流转价格总体表现为水田>灌地>旱地>其他耕地。黄淮海平原的耕地流转价格最高,青藏高原的耕地流转价格最低。②农地流通价格空间格局呈现南高北低的格局,2015年呈现自东向西的倒u型结构,2020年呈现自北向南的东高西低的倒u型结构。空间集聚性增强。(3)随着土地市场和城市化的发展,耕地自然因素对耕地流通价格的制约减弱,耕地的社会经济属性不断增强。在此基础上,提出了防止土地过度资本化的对策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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