Students Anchoring Predisposition: An Illustration From Spring Training Baseball

Lawrence C. Mohrweis
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Abstract

The anchoring tendency results when decision makers anchor on initial values and then make final assessments that are adjusted insufficiently away from the initial values. The professional literature recognizes that auditors often risk falling into the judgment trap of anchoring and adjusting (Ranzilla et al., 2011). Students may also be unaware of the anchoring pitfall. This paper describes a brief case study that illustrates an innovative approach for auditing students to gain a better understanding of this judgmental trap. Using a simple baseball pricing exercise, students determined ticket selling prices for two Major League Baseball spring training games. Data for this study was collected from the public posting of baseball tickets listed for sale on an internet company called StubHub. The results showed that when students had sunk cost break-even information students tried to avoid losses and anchored on this information. Ranzilla et al. (2011) assert that awareness of when and how judgments can be biased is an important mitigating step to educating students regarding the anchoring and adjusting tendency.
学生锚定倾向:一个来自棒球春训的例子
当决策者锚定在初始值上,然后做出与初始值调整不足的最终评估时,锚定倾向就会产生。专业文献认识到,审计师经常有陷入锚定和调整的判断陷阱的风险(Ranzilla et al., 2011)。学生也可能没有意识到锚定陷阱。本文描述了一个简短的案例研究,说明了审计学生更好地理解这种判断陷阱的一种创新方法。通过一个简单的棒球定价练习,学生们确定了两场美国职业棒球大联盟春季训练比赛的门票销售价格。这项研究的数据是从一家名为StubHub的互联网公司公开发布的待售棒球票中收集的。结果表明,当学生拥有沉没成本盈亏平衡信息时,学生会尽量避免损失并锚定在这些信息上。Ranzilla et al.(2011)断言,意识到判断何时以及如何有偏见是教育学生关于锚定和调整倾向的重要缓解步骤。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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