Factor Analysis of Financial Standing of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Member States

V. Smirnov, A. Mulendeeva
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Abstract

the financial position of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation nations. Objectives This research represents factor analysis of trends in the financial standing of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation countries and assesses an increment in a set of interdependencies with subsequent polynomial approximation. Methods We draw upon fundamental principles of the factor analysis theory and practice, laws of economic and finance, findings of scholarly studies into the equilibrium and non-equilibrium development of global economy and world order by country. Results We identify countries demonstrating high and low growth rates of inderdependencies and high and low instability in terms of absolute peak values. Conclusions and Relevance Analyzing the 2006–2016 period, we capture high growth rates in Tajikistan (liquid bank reserves to assets ratio), Kyrgyzstan (extensive money supply, inflation, consumer prices), Kazakhstan (foreign exchange rate), Uzbekistan (deflator), Russia (loan interest rate for the private sector), China (national trading companies), and high absolute peak values of instability in Kazakhstan (liquid bank reserves to assets ratio), Tajikistan (extensive money supply), India (foreign exchange rate), Russia (deflator, national trading companies), China (inflation, consumer prices), Kyrgyzstan (loan interest rates for the private sector). The findings would be useful in outlining and adjusting the international policy and foreign trade with the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation countries and improving the implementation mechanisms.
上海合作组织成员国财政状况的因素分析
上海合作组织成员国的财政状况。本研究对上海合作组织成员国财政状况的趋势进行了因子分析,并利用随后的多项式近似评估了一组相互依赖关系的增量。方法借鉴因子分析理论与实践的基本原理、经济与金融规律、学者的研究成果,对全球经济和世界秩序的均衡与非均衡发展进行分析。结果我们确定了在绝对峰值方面表现出高和低增长率的独立依赖和高和低不稳定性的国家。通过对2006-2016年期间的分析,我们发现塔吉克斯坦(流动银行准备金与资产比率)、吉尔吉斯斯坦(广泛的货币供应、通货膨胀、消费者价格)、哈萨克斯坦(汇率)、乌兹别克斯坦(平减指数)、俄罗斯(私营部门贷款利率)、中国(国有贸易公司)的高增长率和哈萨克斯坦(流动银行准备金与资产比率)、塔吉克斯坦(广泛的货币供应)、印度(外汇汇率),俄罗斯(平减指数,国家贸易公司),中国(通货膨胀,消费者价格),吉尔吉斯斯坦(私营部门的贷款利率)。研究结果对制定和调整上海合作组织成员国的国际政策和对外贸易,完善落实机制具有重要意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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