Understanding Mechanisms Underlying Peer Effects: Evidence from a Field Experiment on Financial Decisions

Leonardo Bursztyn, Florian Ederer, Bruno Ferman, Noam Yuchtman
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引用次数: 85

Abstract

Using a high‐stakes field experiment conducted with a financial brokerage, we implement a novel design to separately identify two channels of social influence in financial decisions, both widely studied theoretically. When someone purchases an asset, his peers may also want to purchase it, both because they learn from his choice (“social learning”) and because his possession of the asset directly affects others' utility of owning the same asset (“social utility”). We randomize whether one member of a peer pair who chose to purchase an asset has that choice implemented, thus randomizing his ability to possess the asset. Then, we randomize whether the second member of the pair: (i) receives no information about the first member, or (ii) is informed of the first member's desire to purchase the asset and the result of the randomization that determined possession. This allows us to estimate the effects of learning plus possession, and learning alone, relative to a (no information) control group. We find that both social learning and social utility channels have statistically and economically significant effects on investment decisions. Evidence from a follow‐up survey reveals that social learning effects are greatest when the first (second) investor is financially sophisticated (financially unsophisticated); investors report updating their beliefs about asset quality after learning about their peer's revealed preference; and, they report motivations consistent with “keeping up with the Joneses” when learning about their peer's possession of the asset. These results can help shed light on the mechanisms underlying herding behavior in financial markets and peer effects in consumption and investment decisions.
理解同伴效应背后的机制:来自金融决策现场实验的证据
通过对一家金融经纪公司进行的高风险现场实验,我们实施了一种新颖的设计,分别识别金融决策中社会影响的两个渠道,这两个渠道在理论上都得到了广泛的研究。当某人购买一项资产时,他的同伴可能也想购买它,这既是因为他们从他的选择中学习(“社会学习”),也是因为他拥有该资产直接影响其他人拥有该资产的效用(“社会效用”)。我们随机化选择购买资产的对等对中的一个成员是否执行了该选择,从而随机化他拥有该资产的能力。然后,我们随机化这对中的第二个成员是否:(i)没有收到关于第一个成员的信息,或者(ii)被告知第一个成员购买资产的愿望以及确定占有的随机化结果。这使我们能够估计相对于(没有信息的)控制组,学习加占有和单独学习的效果。研究发现,社会学习渠道和社会效用渠道对投资决策均具有统计学和经济学意义上的显著影响。一项后续调查的证据表明,当第一(第二)投资者在财务上成熟(财务上不成熟)时,社会学习效应最大;投资者报告称,在了解了同行所透露的偏好后,他们更新了对资产质量的看法;而且,当他们得知同龄人拥有资产时,他们的动机与“攀比”一致。这些结果有助于揭示金融市场中羊群行为的潜在机制以及消费和投资决策中的同伴效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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