But They Don&Apos;T Want to Reduce Housing Equity

Steven F. Venti, D. Wise
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引用次数: 136

Abstract

The majority of the wealth of most elderly is in the form of housing equity. It is often claimed that many elderly would transfer wealth from housing to finance current consumption expenditure, were it not for the large transaction costs associated with changes in housing equity. This is the rationale for a market in reverse annuity mortgages. This paper considers whether transaction costs, understood to include the psychic costs associated with leaving friends, family surroundings, and the like, prevent the elderly from making choices that would improve their financial circumstances. The analysis considers jointly the probability that an elderly family will move and the housing equity that is chosen when a move occurs. The results are based on the decisions of the Retirement History Survey sample between 1969 and 1919. Relative to the potential gains from a reallocation of wealth between housing equity and other assets, transaction costs are very large. Nonetheless, the effect on the housing equity of the elderly is very small. On balance, were all elderly to move and choose optimum levels of housing equity, the amount of housing equity would be increased slightly. Most elderly are not liquidity constrained. And contrary to standard formulations of the life cycle hypothesis, the typical elderly family has no desire to reduce housing equity. The desired reduction of housing equity is largest among families with low income and high housing wealth, but even in this case the desired reductions are rather small. And these desired reductions are more than offset by the desired increases of other families, especially those with high income and low housing wealth. Thus, consistent with the previous findings of Venti and Wise and of Feinstein and McFadden, limited demand may explain the absence of a market for reverse annuity mortgages.
但他们并不想降低房屋净值
大多数老年人的大部分财富是以住房资产的形式存在的。人们经常声称,如果不是因为与住房权益变化相关的巨额交易成本,许多老年人会将财富从住房转移到当前的消费支出中。这就是反向年金抵押贷款市场的基本原理。本文考虑交易成本,包括与离开朋友、家庭环境等相关的心理成本,是否会阻止老年人做出改善其财务状况的选择。该分析综合考虑了老年家庭搬家的可能性和搬家时选择的房屋净值。这些结果是基于1969年至1919年退休历史调查样本的决定。相对于财富在住房权益和其他资产之间重新分配所带来的潜在收益,交易成本非常高。尽管如此,对老年人住房权益的影响非常小。综上所述,如果所有老年人都搬家并选择最优的房屋净值水平,房屋净值的金额将略有增加。大多数老年人并不受流动资金的限制。与生命周期假说的标准公式相反,典型的老年家庭并不想减少住房权益。在低收入和高住房财富的家庭中,住房权益的期望减少幅度最大,但即使在这种情况下,期望减少的幅度也相当小。而其他家庭,尤其是那些高收入和低住房财富的家庭,所期望的减少所抵消的远远超过了预期的增加。因此,与Venti和Wise以及Feinstein和McFadden之前的发现一致,有限的需求可能解释了反向年金抵押贷款市场的缺失。
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