Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange Market: Operations and Efficiency

Van Nguyen Hong Tran, H. Seddighi
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Abstract

This paper presents an up-to-date account of market operations of the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange and examines its informational efficiency in recent years. The daily closing prices and rates of return of the Vietnam (VN) Index – the major market index of the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) – and ten stocks chosen from different sectors are employed, from January 2, 2018, to December 31, 2019, to investigate the random walk hypothesis of market efficiency using the Lo – MacKinlay variance ratio test and the Chow – Denning multiple variance ratio test. Our results show that the market index and individual sample stocks conform to the null hypothesis of a random walk type 3 model of a weak form market efficiency. The paper also presents the results of an event study to examine the semi-strong form market efficiency of the HOSE. The empirical results on this type indicate that there are significant abnormal returns and significant cumulative abnormal returns by trading the stocks around events. However, these results are inconsistent with the requirements of a semi-strong form market efficiency, and it thus appears that further improvements in the transmission of information and its speed within this market are needed to further improve the efficiency of this emerging market.
胡志明证券交易市场:运作与效率
本文介绍了胡志明证券交易所市场运作的最新情况,并考察了其近年来的信息效率。本文利用2018年1月2日至2019年12月31日期间胡志明证券交易所(HOSE)主要市场指数越南指数(VN)的每日收盘价和收益率,以及从不同行业中选择的10只股票,利用Lo - MacKinlay方差比检验和Chow - Denning多元方差比检验来检验市场效率的随机漫步假设。我们的研究结果表明,市场指数和个别样本股票符合弱形式市场效率的随机漫步3型模型的零假设。本文还给出了一个事件研究的结果,以检验HOSE的半强形式市场效率。该类型的实证结果表明,围绕事件交易股票存在显著的异常收益和显著的累积异常收益。然而,这些结果与半强形式市场效率的要求不一致,因此,似乎需要进一步改善信息在这个市场内的传递及其速度,以进一步提高这个新兴市场的效率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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