Local Parties and Election Outcomes

D. Doherty, C. Dowling, Michael G. Miller
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Abstract

Chapter 5 assesses whether candidates running in areas where their local party organization is active tend to perform better than those running in otherwise similar areas, but where the organization is less active. We examine the relationship between local party activity and outcomes in races for state legislature and Sheriff, as well as for federal elections. Our evidence indicates that local party efforts can affect both federal and local election outcomes. Notably, these relationships only emerge in contexts where the party is electorally disadvantaged. This suggests that party efforts in areas where the party is unlikely to win elections at the county level are particularly likely to improve the electoral fortunes of their party’s candidates up and down the ballot. This underscores the ability of small local parties to project their power outward, with ripple effects that shape broader politics at all levels of American government.
地方政党和选举结果
第五章评估在当地政党组织活跃的地区竞选的候选人是否比在其他类似地区竞选的候选人表现更好,但组织不那么活跃。我们研究了地方政党活动与州立法机构和警长竞选结果之间的关系,以及联邦选举。我们的证据表明,地方政党的努力可以影响联邦和地方选举的结果。值得注意的是,这些关系只出现在政党在选举中处于不利地位的情况下。这表明,民主党在不太可能赢得县级选举的地区所做的努力,特别有可能改善该党候选人在选举中的命运。这凸显了地方小党派向外投射权力的能力,其涟漪效应影响了美国各级政府更广泛的政治。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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