Analysis on Open Account in China from the Perspective of Prisoners’ Dilemma

Jingxing Gao
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Open account is a common behavior in international trade. There are such cases that exporters suffered great loss when importers suddenly disappear even they had successful corporation previously. To avoid loss, consigner should stop corporation when he thinks his partner could not afford to fulfill the contract, which shows a great similarity with prisoners’ dilemma. In prisoners’ dilemma, according to backward induction, both players should not corporate in the beginning. However, most of the players will corporate at first, and tend to defect near the end. This paper contains current studies of open account and the result of interview done by the author. The experiment method used in this paper is interview of export traders by phone calls. Interviewees includes manager of risk control center of Xiamen ITG Group Corp, a Fortune 500 company. The interview has showed current situation of open account behavior in China, major methods of preventing loss, changes during the pandemic, and so on. In conclusion, the author suggest enterprises in China to seize the current opportunity, and use more open account to expand.
囚徒困境视角下的中国账户开放分析
开户是国际贸易中常见的行为。曾经成功的进口商突然消失,出口商遭受巨大损失的事例也不少。为避免损失,托运人在认为其合作伙伴无力履行合同时应停止合作,这与囚徒困境有很大的相似之处。囚徒困境中,根据逆向归纳法,博弈双方一开始不应该合作。然而,大多数玩家一开始会选择合作,并在接近尾声时倾向于叛变。本文包含了关于公开账户的研究现状和笔者的访谈结果。本文采用的实验方法是对出口贸易商进行电话访谈。受访者包括世界500强厦门ITG集团公司风控中心经理。通过访谈,了解了中国账户开放行为的现状、防范损失的主要方法、疫情期间的变化等。综上所述,笔者建议中国的企业抓住当前的机遇,利用更多的开放账户进行扩张。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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