Assessing the link between trade openness and output growth in Malaysia: An econometric assessment

S. Zakariah, J. Pyeman
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Trade openness in the sense of trade liberalization policies seems to be no guarantees of output growth since the previous studies shows the relationship of the trade openness and output growth may vary across developed countries and developing countries. Therefore, the primary concern of this study is to examine the relationship between trade openness and total output growth in the case of Malaysia (as one of the developing countries and emerging economies). In order to gain initial insight toward the relationship between trade openness and output growth Pearson Correlation was employed. While, the impact of trade openness toward output growth was estimated by using Ordinary Least Square Regression. In addition, the empirical work had extended towards Granger Causality Test to have a meaningful research study. This is due to some of the economist which saying that correlation is meaningless test without doing causation test. The empirical result derived provides evidence that Malaysia was not suffered from the trade openness since there is a positive relationship between trade openness and output growth. Thus, this study argues that developing country also can gain benefit from trade openness.
评估马来西亚贸易开放与产出增长之间的联系:计量经济学评估
贸易自由化政策意义上的贸易开放似乎并不能保证产出增长,因为以往的研究表明,贸易开放与产出增长的关系在发达国家和发展中国家之间可能存在差异。因此,本研究的主要关注点是在马来西亚(作为发展中国家和新兴经济体之一)的情况下检查贸易开放与总产出增长之间的关系。为了初步了解贸易开放与产出增长之间的关系,我们采用了皮尔逊相关。同时,利用普通最小二乘回归估计了贸易开放对产出增长的影响。此外,实证工作还向格兰杰因果检验方向延伸,以进行有意义的研究。这是由于一些经济学家说,没有做因果关系检验的相关性是无意义的检验。实证结果表明,马来西亚没有受到贸易开放的影响,因为贸易开放与产出增长之间存在正相关关系。因此,本研究认为发展中国家也可以从贸易开放中获益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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