A model-based analysis of generation adequacy in interconnected electricity markets

11th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM14) Pub Date : 2014-05-28 DOI:10.1109/EEM.2014.6861202

Philipp Ringler, Andreas Bublitz, M. Genoese, W. Fichtner

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引用次数: 5

Abstract

In this paper, the development of an interconnected German and French electricity market until 2030 is analyzed by applying an agent-based simulation model for wholesale electricity markets. National day-ahead markets are modeled and coupled considering limited transmission capacities. The results show that coupling the German and French market areas is effectively contributing to balance extreme load situations. Furthermore, based on the endogenous investment planning, mainly new combined cycle gas turbine plants are installed in Germany and France. However, despite incentives for investors to install new generation capacity, the model results indicate that in the coming years few situations will occur in which the residual demand cannot be fully met. Given the static consideration of the hourly electricity demand, the exchange flows with other countries and hydroelectric plants with seasonally operated reservoirs in this paper, effects and interactions of these flexibility options on the electricity system need to be analyzed in more detail in future research.

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基于模型的互联电力市场发电充足性分析

本文采用基于智能体的电力批发市场仿真模型，分析了德国和法国电力市场到2030年的发展趋势。考虑到有限的传输能力，对全国日前市场进行建模和耦合。结果表明，德国和法国市场区域的耦合有效地平衡了极端负载情况。此外，基于内生投资规划，德国和法国主要新建联合循环燃气轮机装置。然而，尽管有激励措施鼓励投资者安装新的发电能力，但模型结果表明，在未来几年内，剩余需求无法完全满足的情况很少发生。本文静态考虑了每小时电力需求、与其他国家的交换流量以及具有季节性水库的水电站，这些灵活性选择对电力系统的影响和相互作用需要在未来的研究中更详细地分析。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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11th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM14)

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