Analysis on the Influence of Shadow Banking on the Effectiveness of China's Monetary Policy

Yun-dal Sun, Xiangyu Chen, Shaosong Wang
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Abstract

After more than ten years of development, shadow banking has formed a certain scale in China, during this period, the effectiveness of monetary policy to the market economy also promoted; at the same time, the shadow banking has also caused both advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we exam 141 sets of monthly data from January 2007 to September 2018 explore a better implementation of monetary policy and the status quo of China's shadow banking management. We find that shadow banking and monetary policy have a strong negative relationship in the short term, but the long-term negative correlation is weak but the impact time is long. Keywords—Shadow Banking; Monetary Policy; Effectiveness; VAR model
影子银行对中国货币政策有效性的影响分析
影子银行经过十几年的发展,在中国已形成一定规模,在此期间,货币政策对市场经济的有效性也得到提升;同时,影子银行也带来了利与弊。本文通过对2007年1月至2018年9月141组月度数据的分析,探讨了货币政策的更好实施和中国影子银行管理的现状。研究发现,影子银行与货币政策短期内存在较强的负相关关系,但长期负相关关系较弱,且影响时间较长。Keywords-Shadow银行;货币政策;有效性;VAR模型
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