Improved Principal Components Regression with Rough Set and its Application in the Modeling of Warship LCC

Xiao-Hai Zhang, Jia-shan Jin, Jun-bao Geng
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Abstract

There are many factors affect the warship Life Cycle Cost (LCC), the importance of every factor is different, and the relationships between factors are correlated. In order to establish the precise LCC model, the Principal Components Regression (PCR) and Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) are proposed to reduce the correlativity between factors which affect the modeling of LCC. However, the components often don’t strongly explain the dependent variables when filtering principal components in the independent variables. Therefore, the improved PCR with Rough Set is proposed to overcome the correlativity between the variables, which could choose the important parameters and reduce the unimportant parameters in the modeling of LCC. The modeling of the process and the regression model are described in the content. Compared with the method of PCR and PLSR, the precision of the improved PCR with Rough Set is much higher.
改进粗糙集主成分回归及其在舰船LCC建模中的应用
影响舰船全寿命周期成本的因素很多,各因素的重要性不同,各因素之间的关系是相互关联的。为了建立精确的LCC模型,提出了主成分回归(PCR)和偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)来降低影响LCC模型的因素之间的相关性。然而,在过滤自变量中的主成分时,这些成分往往不能很好地解释因变量。因此,提出了改进的粗糙集PCR方法,克服了变量之间的相关性,可以在LCC建模中选择重要参数,减少不重要参数。在内容中描述了该过程的建模和回归模型。与PCR和PLSR方法相比,改进的粗糙集PCR方法的精度要高得多。
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