Landslide susceptibility analysis using decision tree method, Phidim, Eastern Nepal

Chandra Prakash Poudyal
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

The decision tree is one of the new methods used for the determination of landslide susceptibility in the study area. The Phidim area is selected for the application of this method. The total surface area is 168.07 sq. km, and is located at the eastern part of Nepal. There are total of 10 different data bases used for this study which are; geological formation, elevation, slope, curvature, aspect, stream power index, topographic wetness index, distance from drainage, lineaments, and slope length, and are considered as landslide conditioning factors. Geographical information system (GIS) is used as basic tools and ARC/View is used for the processing data analysis and final map preparation. For the decision tree analysis the PASW 18 (statistical tool) is used to generate values of each factor. According to the results of decision tree, two geological formations; stream power index and slope are found as the most effective parameters on the landslide occurrence in the study area. Using the predicted values, the landslide susceptibility map of the study area is produced. To assess the performance of the produced susceptibility map, the area under curve (AUC) is drawn. The AUC value of the produced landslide susceptibility map has been obtained as 95.9%. According to the results of the AUC evaluation, the produced map has showed a good performance. As to wrap up, the produced map is able to be used for medium scaled and regional planning purposes. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/bdg.v15i0.7419 Bulletin of the Department of Geology, Vol. 15, 2012, pp. 69-76
基于决策树方法的尼泊尔东部菲迪姆滑坡易感性分析
决策树是确定研究区滑坡易感性的新方法之一。选择Phidim区域作为该方法的应用区域。总面积为168.07平方英尺。它位于尼泊尔的东部。这项研究总共使用了10个不同的数据库,它们是;地质构造、高程、坡度、曲率、坡向、水流动力指数、地形湿度指数、离水系距离、地貌、坡长等被认为是滑坡的制约因素。使用地理信息系统(GIS)作为基本工具,并使用ARC/View进行数据处理分析和最终的地图制作。对于决策树分析,pasw18(统计工具)用于生成每个因素的值。根据决策树的结果,确定了两个地质构造;水流功率指数和坡度是影响研究区滑坡发生的最有效参数。利用预测值,绘制了研究区滑坡易感性图。绘制曲线下面积(AUC)来评估绘制的敏感性图的性能。所得滑坡敏感性图的AUC值为95.9%。根据AUC评价结果,所制作的地图显示出良好的性能。综上所述,制作的地图可以用于中等规模和区域规划目的。DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/bdg.v15i0.7419地质部门公报,2012年第15卷,第69-76页
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