Peramalan Jumlah Pelanggan PLN Menggunakan Simple Linear Regression

Yayang Eluis Bali Mawartika, Hendra Di Kesuma
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Abstract

The rate of population growth in Lubuklinggau City continues to increase every year, this is a factor in the increasing demand for electricity. The development of the number of PLN customers in Lubuklinggau City in 2017 was 90.606 customers, increasing to 120.809  customers in 2021. PLN must be able to predict the number of electricity customers in the future in order to provide electricity needs. One of the forecasting models that can be used to predict the development of the number of PLN electricity customers is the Simple Linear Regression model. Simple Linear Regression is a forecasting model based on the effect of the causal variables on the effect variables. The variables used are the population variable and the number of PLN customers. From these two variables, the process of analyzing the influence of population on the number of PLN customers in the future will be carried out. The results showed that 90% increase in population affects the number of PLN customers. With the prediction of the development of the number of customers, PLN Lubuklinggau can prepare the necessary facilities and can estimate how much additional power and electrical energy will be in meeting customer needs in the future.
卢巴克灵高市的人口增长率每年都在继续增加,这是电力需求不断增加的一个因素。2017年卢布克林高市PLN客户的发展数量为90.606个客户,到2021年增加到120.809个客户。PLN必须能够预测未来电力客户的数量,以便提供电力需求。简单线性回归模型是可用于预测PLN电力用户数量发展的预测模型之一。简单线性回归是一种基于因果变量对效应变量影响的预测模型。使用的变量是人口变量和PLN客户的数量。从这两个变量出发,进行人口对未来PLN客户数量影响的分析过程。结果表明,90%的人口增长影响了PLN客户的数量。随着对客户数量发展的预测,PLN Lubuklinggau可以准备必要的设施,并可以估计未来需要多少额外的电力和电能来满足客户的需求。
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