Contradictions of economic policy in the context of new risks and challenges in the development of the world economy

E. Smirnov
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Abstract

The relevance of the problems considered in the article is associated with the growth of uncertainty and increased turbulence in the development of the world economy in recent years, as well as with the ambiguous impact of this instability on the economies of individual countries. These new trends have actualized the problems of economic policy, the analysis of which is the purpose of our study. These problems are connected both with the restoration of the previous growth rates and the choice of optimal instruments of fiscal and monetary policy, as well as counteracting the volatility of world prices and the instability inherent in commodity markets. One of the objectives of the study is to assess the approaches of individual countries in terms of their response to the crisis phenomena of recent years, to determine the main directions for counteracting the growth in the debt burden of countries, tools to curb inflation in the context of unprecedentedly tight financial conditions, as well as mechanisms for macroprudential regulation. As one of the results of the study, the author proves the growing differentiation of economic policies in the context of individual countries, limiting the sustainable recovery of the world economy, which is exacerbated by the ongoing instability of international trade and disruptions in global value chains. In addition, the author concluded that volatile world energy and food prices make traditional economic policies more uncertain and force countries to use alternative economic regulation tools, in particular, those related to changing the practice of applying policy rates to curb inflation, new approaches to the implementation of the tasks of the climate agenda and labor market policy.
世界经济发展面临新的风险和挑战背景下的经济政策矛盾
文章中所考虑的问题的相关性与近年来世界经济发展中不确定性的增长和动荡的增加有关,也与这种不稳定性对个别国家经济的模糊影响有关。这些新的趋势使经济政策的问题成为现实,对这些问题的分析是我们研究的目的。这些问题涉及到恢复以前的增长率和选择最佳的财政和货币政策工具,以及抵消世界价格的波动和商品市场固有的不稳定。这项研究的目标之一是评估各国对近年来危机现象的反应,确定抵消各国债务负担增长的主要方向,在空前紧张的财政条件下遏制通货膨胀的工具,以及宏观审慎监管的机制。作为研究结果之一,作者证明了各国经济政策的日益分化,限制了世界经济的可持续复苏,而国际贸易的持续不稳定和全球价值链的中断加剧了这种情况。此外,作者得出结论,世界能源和粮食价格波动使传统的经济政策更加不确定,迫使各国使用替代的经济调控工具,特别是那些与改变应用政策利率来抑制通货膨胀的做法、执行气候议程任务的新方法和劳动力市场政策有关的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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