Regional susceptibility, possibility and risk analyses of landslide in Ulsan Metropolitan City, Korea

S. Lee, B. Chang, W. Choi, E. Shin
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The three steps of landslide hazard analysis such as susceptibility, possibility, and risk were performed to study area, Ulsan, using GIS. The susceptibility is a function of the probability of potential landslide occurrence and landslide-related factors. The possibility depends on the impact factor such as rainfall, earthquake and human activity and on the susceptibility. The risk depends on vulnerable objects such as people and property, and on the possibility. For the analyses, the topographic, geologic, soil, forest, meteorological, and population and facility database were constructed using GIS. Landslide susceptibility was analyzed using the landslide-occurrence factors by probability method that is summation of landslide occurrence probability values per each factors range or type. For landslide possibility analysis, the rainfall frequency map that was extracted from meteorological database was added to the susceptibility map, because most of the landslides in Korea occurred by heavy rain. For landslide risk analysis, the population and facility density maps that were created from the population and facility database were added to the possibility map.
韩国蔚山市滑坡的区域易感性、可能性和危险性分析
以蔚山为研究区,利用GIS对滑坡危险性进行了易感性、可能性和危险性三个阶段的分析。易感性是潜在滑坡发生概率和滑坡相关因素的函数。这种可能性取决于降雨、地震和人类活动等影响因素以及易感性。风险取决于脆弱的对象,如人员和财产,以及可能性。利用地理信息系统(GIS)建立了地形、地质、土壤、森林、气象、人口和设施数据库。利用滑坡发生因子对滑坡易感性进行分析,采用概率法对各因子范围或类型的滑坡发生概率值进行求和。在滑坡可能性分析中,我们将从气象数据库中提取的降雨频率图添加到敏感性图中,因为韩国的滑坡大多发生在暴雨中。为进行滑坡风险分析,在可能性图中加入了从人口和设施数据库中创建的人口和设施密度图。
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