Introduction to a creative philosophy of anticipation

J. Brassett, J. O'Reilly
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Abstract

There were many anticipations creating this book. We start with the Second International Conference on Anticipation, held at Senate House in London 2017, where we (Jamie Brassett and John O’Reilly) organized and delivered a curated discussion panel – though this is by no means the earliest encounter germane to this story. Anticipation took the form of an atmosphere in this 1930s Art Deco building. Senate House was initiated by William Beveridge when he was elected to the post of Vice-Chancellor of the University of London in 1926. Beveridge’s work anticipated and therefore created a new timeline of the future as the thinker of the welfare state that enabled heterogenous futures. Beveridge also had a different, more homogenous version of the future – like many of the pre-war left in Britain who were motivated by the idea of eugenics, the engineering out of undesired genetic qualities (Freedland, 2012; Renwick, 2019). For Beveridge, the anticipatory power of the welfare state gave way to the predictive power of eugenics. The 19-floor building of Senate House was designed by vegetarian Quaker Charles Holden, a specialist in the atmosphere of the subterranean, having designed over 40 underground stations in London. The slightly dystopic atmosphere generated by the severe beauty of the building’s Portland Stone materials haunted the future in the present in perfectly anticipatory fashion. George Orwell’s Ministry of Truth in Nineteen Eighty-Four was modelled on Senate House. The strategy of organizational threat as a mode of political control by Orwell’s Ministry of Truth, anticipates the operational logic behind the strategies of the US and UK governments nearly 20 years after the fictional year of the book – especially with the War on Terror. ‘Fear is the anticipatory reality in the present of a threatening future,’ writes Brian Massumi in his essay ‘The future birth of the affective fact’. He continues: ‘It is the felt reality of the nonexistent, loomingly present as the affective fact of the matter’ (Massumi, 2010, p. 54). In everyday experience such prophecies can become self-fulfilling, but this disguises the affective, material power of threat as an atmosphere. The affective fact, Massumi argues, opens the way to generate and legitimate many different kinds of actions, actors and their networks to pre-empt the Jamie Brassett and John O’Reilly Introduction
介绍期待的创造性哲学
写这本书有很多期待。我们从2017年在伦敦参议院举行的第二届国际预期会议开始,在那里我们(Jamie Brassett和John O 'Reilly)组织并提供了一个精心策划的讨论小组——尽管这绝不是与这个故事有关的最早的相遇。在这座20世纪30年代的装饰艺术风格建筑中,期待以一种氛围的形式出现。参议院众议院是由威廉·贝弗里奇在1926年被选为伦敦大学副校长时发起的。作为福利国家的思想家,贝弗里奇的工作预测并因此创造了一个新的未来时间线,从而实现了异质未来。贝弗里奇也有一个不同的、更同质化的未来版本——就像许多战前英国的左派一样,他们受到优生学思想的激励,优生学是一种不受欢迎的遗传品质的工程(弗里兰德,2012;Renwick, 2019)。在贝弗里奇看来,福利国家的预测能力让位于优生学的预测能力。参议院大厦的19层建筑是由素食的贵格会教徒查尔斯·霍尔顿设计的,他是地下氛围的专家,在伦敦设计了40多个地铁站。建筑的波特兰石材料产生了轻微的反乌托邦氛围,以完美的预期方式在现在困扰着未来。乔治·奥威尔1984年的《真理部》就是以参议院为蓝本创作的。奥威尔笔下的真理部将组织威胁策略作为一种政治控制模式,预测了小说虚构年份近20年后美国和英国政府策略背后的运作逻辑——尤其是在反恐战争中。Brian Massumi在他的文章《情感事实的未来诞生》中写道:“恐惧是对威胁未来的预期现实。”他继续说:“它是不存在的感觉现实,作为事物的情感事实隐约存在”(Massumi, 2010, p. 54)。在日常经验中,这样的预言可以自我实现,但这将威胁的情感和物质力量伪装成了一种氛围。Massumi认为,情感事实为产生和合法化许多不同类型的行为、演员和他们的网络开辟了道路,从而先发制人
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