Based on DID to study the price of agricultural products in Chengdu under the novel coronavirus pneumonia

Yuqing Lou, Xiaoyu Liu, Qinya Tang, Yufeng Wang
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Abstract

The novel coronavirus pneumonia has had a great impact on the prices of agricultural products. The current domestic research focuses on theoretical analysis and does not focus on a specific city. Aiming at the changes in agricultural product prices in Chengdu, this article first proposes hypotheses in terms of income effect, price expectation effect and cost effect, and then selects the prices of agricultural products around the Spring Festival in 2020 and uses Difference-in-Difference for analysis. The empirical results show that among different types of agricultural products, livestock and poultry rose the most, at 6.6%, and grain and oil rose the least, at 0.3%. From the perspective of residents' income and geographic area, the prices of agricultural products in Chengdu have risen overall, and the price fluctuations are greatest in areas with small agricultural production values. The research in this article is helpful to understand the agricultural product price adjustment mechanism under the impact of the epidemic, and provides decision-making reference for effective formulation of relevant policies to stabilize prices and ease the pressure on residents' lives.
基于DID的新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情下成都市农产品价格研究
新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情对农产品价格产生了很大影响。目前国内的研究主要集中在理论分析上,没有针对具体城市进行研究。本文针对成都市农产品价格的变化,首先从收入效应、价格预期效应和成本效应三个方面提出假设,然后选取2020年春节前后的农产品价格,采用差分法进行分析。实证结果表明,在不同类型的农产品中,畜禽价格涨幅最大,为6.6%,粮油价格涨幅最小,为0.3%。从居民收入和地理区域来看,成都农产品价格整体上涨,农业产值小的地区价格波动最大。本文的研究有助于了解疫情影响下的农产品价格调整机制,为有效制定相关政策稳定物价、缓解居民生活压力提供决策参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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