Challenges for Natural Hazard and Risk Management in Mountain Regions of Europe

M. Keiler, S. Fuchs
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

European mountain regions are diverse, from gently rolling hills to high mountain areas, and from low populated rural areas to urban regions or from communities dependent on agricultural productions to hubs of tourist industry. Communities in European mountain regions are threatened by different hazard types: for example floods, landslides, or glacial hazards, mostly in a multi-hazard environment. Due to climate change and socioeconomic developments they are challenged by emerging and spatially as well as temporally highly dynamic risks. Consequently, over decades societies in European mountain ranges developed different hazard and risk management strategies on a national to local level, which are presented below focusing on the European Alps. Until the late 19th century, the paradigm of hazard protection was related to engineering measures, mostly implemented in the catchments, and new authorities responsible for mitigation were founded. From the 19th century, more integrative strategies became prominent, becoming manifest in the 1960s with land-use management strategies targeted at a separation of hazardous areas and areas used for settlement and economic purpose. In research and in the application, the concept of hazard mitigation was step by step replaced by the concept of risk. The concept of risk includes three components (or drivers), apart from hazard analysis also the assessment and evaluation of exposure and vulnerability; thus, it addresses in the management of risk reduction all three components. These three drivers are all dynamic, while the concept of risk itself is thus far a static approach. The dynamic of risk drivers is a result of both climate change and socioeconomic change, leading through different combinations either to an increase or a decrease in risk. Consequently, natural hazard and risk management, defined since the 21st century using the complexity paradigm, should acknowledge such dynamics. Moreover, researchers from different disciplines as well as practitioners have to meet the challenges of sustainable development in the European mountains. Thus, they should consider the effects of dynamics in risk drivers (e.g., increasing exposure, increasing vulnerability, changes in magnitude, and frequency of hazard events), and possible effects on development areas. These challenges, furthermore, can be better met in the future by concepts of risk governance, including but not limited to improved land management strategies and adaptive risk management.
欧洲山区自然灾害和风险管理面临的挑战
从平缓起伏的丘陵到高山地区,从人口稀少的农村地区到城市地区,或从依赖农业生产的社区到旅游产业中心,欧洲山区是多种多样的。欧洲山区的社区受到不同类型灾害的威胁:例如洪水、山体滑坡或冰川灾害,主要是在多重灾害环境中。由于气候变化和社会经济发展,它们受到新出现的、空间上和时间上高度动态的风险的挑战。因此,几十年来,欧洲山脉的社会在国家和地方层面上制定了不同的灾害和风险管理战略,下文重点介绍了欧洲阿尔卑斯山。直到19世纪后期,危害保护的范例与工程措施有关,主要在集水区实施,并成立了负责减轻危害的新当局。从19世纪开始,更多的综合战略变得突出,在20世纪60年代,以分离危险区域和用于定居和经济目的的区域为目标的土地使用管理战略变得明显。在研究和应用中,减轻危害的概念逐步被风险的概念所取代。风险的概念包括三个组成部分(或驱动因素),除了危害分析之外,还包括对暴露和脆弱性的评估和评价;因此,它在降低风险的管理中涉及所有三个组成部分。这三个驱动因素都是动态的,而风险的概念本身迄今为止是一种静态的方法。风险驱动因素的动态是气候变化和社会经济变化共同作用的结果,通过不同的组合导致风险增加或减少。因此,自21世纪以来使用复杂性范式定义的自然灾害和风险管理应该承认这种动态。此外,来自不同学科的研究人员和实践者必须应对欧洲山区可持续发展的挑战。因此,他们应该考虑风险驱动因素的动态影响(例如,不断增加的暴露、日益增加的脆弱性、灾害事件的幅度变化和频率),以及对发展领域可能产生的影响。此外,未来可以通过风险治理概念更好地应对这些挑战,包括但不限于改进土地管理战略和适应性风险管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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