Reflections on India’s ‘Guidelines on Cross Border Trade of Electricity’ Vis-a-vis Nepal’s ‘Electricity Development Decade 2016/’026’ and ‘2017/’018 Budget’

S. Pun
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Nepal unfurled her 10,000 MW in 10 years Electricity Development Decade 2016/’026 in February 2016 supposedly with one eye on her own domestic consumption but definitely with the other eye on India’s growing hungry market. India, for ‘strategic, national and economic’ reasons, issued her Guidelines on December 5, 2016 whereby preferential treatment is given to Indian entities that wish to export power from Nepal to India. While Indian entities with 51% or more ownership require a one-time approval, all other participating entities are eligible to participate on ‘ case to case basis .’ The concerned authorities of Nepal, thick-skinned as they are, made no fuss at all about India’s Guidelines. In fact, Nepal held the 5 th Power Summit on December 16, 2016 concluding that, though the 10,000 MW is ambitious, it is realistic and achievable. In the immediate aftermath in January 2017, the USAID financed Delhi-based IRADe launched its report in Kathmandu wherein the Nepalese media was all agog reporting ‘Nepal can earn Rs 1 Trillion a year by selling power.’ This was then followed by the Nepal Investment Summit jamboree in March 2017 that boasted of garnering 13.6 billion US$ foreign commitments. All these were then topped by the Nepal government’s 2017/’018 budget that sanguinely hiked up the “10,000 MW in 10 years’ to an inconceivable ‘ 17,000 MW in 7 years !’ Sans the electricity regulatory commission, sans the Indo-Nepal downstream benefit sharing mechanism from storage projects and sans the huge required capital skillfully throttled by India’s Guidelines, Nepal’s 17,000 MW in 7 years is an extremely tall order, more likely to end up in the manner of Som Sharma’s sattu! HYDRO Nepal Journal Journal of Water Energy and Environment Issue: 21, July, 2017 Page: 5-10 Upload Date: July 18, 2017
对印度“跨境电力贸易指南”与尼泊尔“2016/ 026年电力发展十年”和“2017/ 018年预算”的反思
2016年2月,尼泊尔在10年电力发展十年(2016/ 026)中推出了1万兆瓦的项目,据说一方面着眼于国内消费,另一方面肯定是着眼于印度日益增长的饥饿市场。出于“战略、国家和经济”原因,印度于2016年12月5日发布了指导方针,希望从尼泊尔向印度出口电力的印度实体将获得优惠待遇。虽然拥有51%或更多股权的印度实体需要一次性批准,但所有其他参与的实体都有资格“逐案”参与。尼泊尔的有关当局脸皮很厚,对印度的指导方针一点也不大惊小怪。事实上,尼泊尔于2016年12月16日举行了第五届电力峰会,得出的结论是,尽管10,000兆瓦的目标雄心勃勃,但它是现实可行的。2017年1月,美国国际开发署资助的德里IRADe在加德满都发布了一份报告,其中尼泊尔媒体都在兴奋地报道“尼泊尔每年可以通过出售电力赚取1万亿卢比”。随后在2017年3月举行了尼泊尔投资峰会,号称获得了136亿美元的外国承诺。所有这些都被尼泊尔政府2017/ 018年的预算所超越,该预算乐观地将“10年1万兆瓦”提高到不可思议的“7年1.7万兆瓦”!如果没有电力监管委员会,没有印度-尼泊尔下游储能项目的利益分享机制,没有印度指导方针所要求的巨额资金,尼泊尔7年1.7万兆瓦的目标是一个极其艰巨的任务,更有可能以索姆·夏尔马的方式结束。水电尼泊尔杂志水能源与环境杂志出版日期:2017年7月21日页面:5-10上传日期:2017年7月18日
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