Congruent modelling as a tool for forecasting of households electricity consumption

Abstract

Due to the high variability of energy consumption over time and the impossibility of its long-term storage, an important issue is the selection of appropriate precise tools for forecasting. The article describes the dynamic modelling and the results of predictive dynamic models developed for a group of individual customers. The results were evaluated on the basis of real data about consumption of electric energy and some forecasts using those models were created.