Prediction Of Solar Power Generation Based On Machine Learning Algorithm

Rinshy Annie Varughese, Dr. R. Karpagam
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Abstract

Energy demand is growing and by 2050 solar energy will account for 11% total electricity production. It has emerged as one of the most potential sources of alternative energy Even though the usage of solar energy in residential places has increased, yet they are regarded as unpredictable and irregular power sources because the generated power output depends on the geographical region, atmospheric conditions, which can vary drastically. Depending upon the weather conditions solar panels will work differently. Since the power generation mostly depends on weather conditions it is necessary to consider weather conditions. Because of the unpredictability in photovoltaic generations, it is crucial to examine the effects of environmental circumstances on solar power system using machine learning based approach. The machine learning algorithm shows great results in anticipating the power with weather conditions as input models. The approach uses different databases, input, and mathematical relationships to predict the solar power generated. Various machine learning algorithm would be applied to get the patterns and to obtain the results with maximum accuracy and efficiency. This study demonstrates how a variety of machine learning techniques may be used to predict the amount of energy a solar panel provides. Various models were applied to the database and the most appropriate machine learning predictive model was identified through coefficient of determination analysis. The results obtained after comparing the data for different years are furnished. Temperature, relative humidity, pressure, and wind speed are the independent factors, with power generated as the dependent variable. The proposed model has provided prediction results with good accuracy.
基于机器学习算法的太阳能发电预测
能源需求正在增长,到2050年太阳能将占总发电量的11%。太阳能已成为最有潜力的替代能源之一,尽管住宅太阳能的使用量有所增加,但由于其产生的电力输出取决于地理区域和大气条件,因此被认为是不可预测和不规则的能源。根据天气条件,太阳能电池板的工作方式也会有所不同。由于发电主要取决于天气条件,因此有必要考虑天气条件。由于光伏发电的不可预测性,使用基于机器学习的方法来研究环境环境对太阳能发电系统的影响至关重要。机器学习算法在以天气条件作为输入模型预测功率方面显示出很好的效果。该方法使用不同的数据库、输入和数学关系来预测太阳能发电。将应用各种机器学习算法来获取模式,并以最大的准确性和效率获得结果。这项研究展示了如何使用各种机器学习技术来预测太阳能电池板提供的能量。将各种模型应用到数据库中,通过确定系数分析确定最合适的机器学习预测模型。并对不同年份的数据进行了比较。温度、相对湿度、压力、风速为独立因素,发电量为因变量。该模型的预测结果具有较好的精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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