COVID-19 Spread Prediction Model

Tong Zhou, Yunxin Zhang
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In order to improve the status quo and improve people's awareness of new crown outbreak, quantitatively studied the spread of infectious diseases COVID-19, create conditions for forecast and control the spread of infectious diseases, we according to the general law of propagation, using the mechanism analysis method to establish model, the problem of propagation of Wuhan, Shanghai and Beijing to build mathematical model, such as SIS and SIR, to describe the process of the spread of infectious disease analysis, the change rule of the number of infected forecast time of infectious disease come, to prevent the spread of infectious diseases.
COVID-19传播预测模型
为了改善现状,提高人们对新冠疫情的认识,定量研究了COVID-19传染病的传播,为预测和控制传染病的传播创造条件,我们根据传播的一般规律,采用机理分析的方法建立模型,对武汉、上海和北京的传播问题建立数学模型,如SIS和SIR;对传染病的传播过程进行描述分析,对传染病感染人数的变化规律进行预测,预测传染病发生的时间,防止传染病的传播。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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