Multiple Levels of Analysis and Time Scales

Matt Grossmann
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Abstract

Explanations for human behavior often involve factors operating at multiple levels of analysis (from individuals to organizations to nations) and across different time scales (immediate, developmental, and evolutionary). Continuing debates over methodological individualism within the social sciences ignore the growing consensus within philosophy of social science that influences on social life are present across individual and collective units, each with influential histories. Even if models of individual interaction offer useful templates, they do not imply that any social process started anew at any particular point in time or that individuals created social structures without being influenced by prior institutions. Using a comparison of traffic and weather, I find that these difficulties are no worse for social than natural science, once we welcome both simple patterns and complex multilevel processes. In both cases, much progress is made simply through observational generalization and many complaints involve our ability to change the world, not understand it.
多层次的分析和时间尺度
对人类行为的解释通常涉及在多个分析层面(从个人到组织到国家)和不同时间尺度(即时、发展和进化)上运作的因素。社会科学中关于方法论个人主义的持续争论忽视了社会科学哲学中日益增长的共识,即对社会生活的影响存在于个人和集体单位之间,每个单位都有影响历史。即使个体相互作用的模型提供了有用的模板,它们并不意味着任何社会进程在任何特定的时间点重新开始,或者个人在没有受到先前制度影响的情况下创造了社会结构。通过对交通和天气的比较,我发现,一旦我们接受简单模式和复杂的多层次过程,这些困难对社会科学来说并不比自然科学更糟。在这两种情况下,许多进步仅仅是通过观察归纳取得的,许多抱怨涉及我们改变世界的能力,而不是理解世界的能力。
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