Cash Is Not Always King: Economic Policy Uncertainty and the Marginal Value of Corporate Cash Holdings

Ziwen Bu, Ahmet Karpuz, Rongbing Xiao, Huainan Zhao
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Abstract

This paper studies the relation between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and the marginal value of corporate cash holdings. We find that the markets place a lower value on firms’ cash holdings under high level of EPU. Our quasi-experiment tests relating to the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the gubernatorial elections support the causal relationship between EPU and the value of cash holdings. Further, we show that this relation is more pronounced for firms with less redeployable capital assets, more investment opportunities, poor corporate governance, or positive excess cash. Overall, our evidence suggests that cash is not always king especially in periods of high uncertainty of policies.
现金并非永远为王:经济政策不确定性与企业现金持有的边际价值
本文研究了经济政策不确定性(EPU)与企业现金持有边际价值的关系。我们发现,在较高的EPU水平下,市场对企业现金持有量的估值较低。我们关于9/11恐怖袭击和州长选举的准实验测试支持EPU与现金持有价值之间的因果关系。此外,我们表明,对于可重新配置的资本资产较少、投资机会较多、公司治理较差或正过剩现金的公司,这种关系更为明显。总的来说,我们的证据表明,现金并不总是王道,尤其是在政策高度不确定的时期。
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