Forecasting Customer Churn in the Telecommunications Industry

Kritarth Gupta, Atharva Hardikar, Devansh Gupta, Shweta Loonkar
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Abstract

Data mining is a broad field that helps the company to combine statistics, databases, machine learning, and artificial intelligence. As the size of the company grows, so do such situations, making it impossible for a normal information system to manage such perilous scenarios. Due to this companies face significant income loss since customers are leaving the firm for unexplained reasons. It is well acknowledged that acquiring new clients is more cash intensive than maintaining existing ones and hence customer management is critically impacted by customer churn, which happens when a customer decides he no longer wants to keep in touch with the company. Traditional market research methodologies are challenging to support the churn problem. There is still much potential for improvement in churn forecast accuracy despite the development of several churn prediction tools that look at hundreds of parameters. Ultimately, this research will aid in the analysis of consumer behavior and the categorization of whether or not a client is churning through the use of a variety of data mining approaches to predict customer churn. Using a data set available on Kaggle's website, this study tested multiple classifiers on the problem of predicting customers' propensity to leave a company. In this study, we utilized Kaggle's online data set to predict customer churn behavior using several classifiers, including Random Forest, Logistic, J48, Stacking, ADA Boost, Decision Table, and Logit Boost, and observed that our model achieved 93.55 percent accuracy.
预测电信行业的客户流失
数据挖掘是一个广泛的领域,可以帮助公司将统计、数据库、机器学习和人工智能结合起来。随着公司规模的扩大,这种情况也越来越多,使得正常的信息系统无法管理这种危险的情况。由于客户因不明原因离开公司,公司面临着重大的收入损失。众所周知,获得新客户比维持现有客户更需要现金,因此客户管理受到客户流失的严重影响,当客户决定不再与公司保持联系时,就会发生这种情况。传统的市场研究方法很难支持客户流失问题。尽管开发了几种可以查看数百个参数的客户流失预测工具,但客户流失预测的准确性仍有很大的提高潜力。最终,这项研究将有助于分析消费者行为,并通过使用各种数据挖掘方法来预测客户流失,从而对客户是否正在流失进行分类。利用Kaggle网站上的数据集,这项研究测试了多种分类器来预测客户离开公司的倾向。在这项研究中,我们利用Kaggle的在线数据集来预测客户流失行为,使用几个分类器,包括随机森林、Logistic、J48、Stacking、ADA Boost、Decision Table和Logit Boost,并观察到我们的模型达到了93.55%的准确率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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