Research on the influence of US QE policy on Sino-US trade

Xin-Zhen Weng, Xian-fei Meng
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Abstract

This article selects the major international commodity price index, the RMB against the dollar, foreign direct investment in China, the broad money supply of US, China's exports to the US and China’s imports from the US of monthly data from January 2020 to June 2021, using multiple linear regression model to study how the quantitative easing monetary policy of US impact on Sino-US trade during the outbreak of the COVID-19. The empirical results show that international commodity price index has a negative correlation with China's exports to the US and imports from US, the RMB against the dollar has a negative impact to China’s imports from US, the broad money supply of US has a significant positive impact on both China’s export to US and import from US and FDI has a positive impact to China’s imports from US to some extent.
美国量化宽松政策对中美贸易的影响研究
本文选取2020年1月至2021年6月的月度主要国际大宗商品价格指数、人民币兑美元汇率、中国对外直接投资、美国广义货币供应量、中国对美出口和中国自美进口数据,运用多元线性回归模型研究新冠肺炎疫情期间美国量化宽松货币政策对中美贸易的影响。实证结果表明,国际商品价格指数与中国对美出口和自美进口呈负相关,人民币对美元汇率对中国自美进口呈负相关,美国广义货币供应量对中国对美出口和自美进口均有显著的正向影响,FDI对中国自美进口均有一定的正向影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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