Comparative Analysis of Churn Predictive Models and Factor Identification in Telecom Industry

A. Siddika, Aifa Faruque, Abdul Kadar Muhammad Masum
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Abstract

Continual advancement in technology has led an initiative to the competitive environment among the institutes relating to the technological domain. The telecommunication industry is no exception in such cases. There exists immense competition among the telecom service providers for maximization of profit and expansion of market interest by attracting new clients. However, the retention of existing customers is easier and cheaper than acquiring new ones. As the customers are more concerned about the quality of services provided by the institutions it becomes challenging for companies to maintain client satisfaction. The CRM as well as analysts need to recognize the potential churners and the cause of their migration. This paper suggests a framework that employs machine learning and deep learning techniques for determining churn customers as well as distinguishes notable factors that typically govern the customer towards churn. Firstly, the classification between churn and non-churn customers is conducted utilizing both machine learning and deep learning algorithms where Random Forest achieved supremacy over others and followed by the deep learning models CNN and MLP. Besides the work deduced the significant factors affecting the churning procedure by applying Attribute Selection Techniques. The experimentation results unveil the prediction models that recognize the potential churners with optimal accuracy and the important factors that show impact over the churning of the customer. The findings acquired from this research are hoped to be lucrative for the companies in the present world for taking an effective decision and acting accurately in terms of customer retention.
电信行业客户流失预测模型与因素识别的比较分析
技术的不断进步导致了与技术领域有关的研究所之间的竞争环境的主动。在这种情况下,电信行业也不例外。电信服务提供商之间存在着巨大的竞争,以实现利润最大化,并通过吸引新客户来扩大市场利益。然而,留住现有客户比获得新客户更容易,成本也更低。随着客户越来越关注机构提供的服务质量,保持客户满意度对公司来说变得具有挑战性。客户关系管理和分析师需要认识到潜在的流失和他们迁移的原因。本文提出了一个框架,该框架采用机器学习和深度学习技术来确定流失客户,并区分通常导致客户流失的显着因素。首先,利用机器学习和深度学习算法对流失客户和非流失客户进行分类,其中Random Forest优于其他算法,其次是深度学习模型CNN和MLP。此外,运用属性选择技术推导了影响搅拌过程的重要因素。实验结果揭示了以最佳精度识别潜在流失的预测模型和影响客户流失的重要因素。从这项研究中获得的发现希望对当今世界的公司有利可图,因为它们可以在客户保留方面做出有效的决策和准确的行动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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