SIMPLE TOURISM SECTOR DEVELOPMENT INDEX: CRISES VALUES

Đorđe Mitrović, Sabina Taškar Beloglavec
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Abstract

Purpose – The paper aims to construct a simple tourism sector development index reacting to crises occurrences. Methodology – Paper is two-folded, theoretical background with literature overview and empirical part based on the DEA method. Instead of using a vast number of different individual indicators measuring countries’ tourism performance, it is more appropriate to use one composite index to depict complex tourism development issues in a particular country. The composite index proposed in this paper TSDI, was developed using DEA encompassing tourism soundness and macroeconomic data. Findings – We are especially interested in index values in the 2019 COVID-19 pandemic crises relatively to the previous and following year. Therefore, the data time series include the annual data of selected truisms soundness factors from 2016 to 2020. The paper has three hypotheses dealing with simple tourism sector development index (TSDI) values during crises and the correlation of this calculated index to The Travel & Tourism Competitiveness Index (TTCI) and The Global Competitiveness Index (GCI). Contribution – The paper may offer some basic policy recommendations for policymakers as it may be applied as a relatively simple tool for professionals to assess future crises or economic shocks implications on the tourism sector. The TDSI proposed in this paper can point at the differences in countries’ responses to crises shock that could be influenced by government policies aimed at tourism sector development. TDSI is, due to its simplicity, a good tool for practitioners to use in monitoring and placing recommendations for improvements.
简单旅游部门发展指数:危机值
目的-本文旨在构建一个简单的应对危机事件的旅游部门发展指数。方法-论文分为两部分,理论背景,文献综述和实证部分,基于DEA方法。与其使用大量不同的单独指标来衡量各国的旅游绩效,不如使用一个综合指数来描述特定国家的复杂旅游发展问题。本文提出的旅游稳健性综合指数TSDI,采用DEA方法综合了宏观经济数据和旅游稳健性。研究结果-我们特别感兴趣的是2019年COVID-19大流行危机相对于前一年和后一年的指数值。因此,数据时间序列包含2016 - 2020年选取的自明性稳健性因子的年度数据。本文对危机期间旅游部门发展指数(TSDI)的简单数值及其与旅游竞争力指数(TTCI)和全球竞争力指数(GCI)的相关性提出了三个假设。贡献——本文可以为政策制定者提供一些基本的政策建议,因为它可以作为专业人员评估未来危机或经济冲击对旅游业影响的相对简单的工具。本文提出的TDSI可以指出各国应对危机冲击的差异,这些差异可能受到旨在发展旅游业的政府政策的影响。由于其简单性,TDSI是从业者用于监视和提出改进建议的好工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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