Water stress and sustainability challenges: Evidence from sub‐Saharan Africa

Doaa M. Salman Abdou, Mohamad Mussad Ibrahim Rajab
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Abstract

Sub‐Saharan Africa is considered one of the hotspots most likely to be affected by water problems due to the region's heavy reliance on agriculture. This study has three objectives. First, it aims to assess the driving factors that influence environmental performance in Sub‐Saharan countries. Second, it investigates the impact of water scarcity on sustainable development in sub‐Saharan nations by utilizing available data on the environmental performance index (EPI) from 2000 to 2010, which is the only complete and accessible time series. Third, it seeks to identify the effect of carbon dioxide emissions on the EPI. To achieve these objectives, the study employs an empirical dynamic autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and a panel of selected countries in sub‐Saharan Africa to examine long‐term equilibrium and short‐term adjustments. The results indicate a positive correlation between population growth and EPI in Angola, Cameroon, Ghana, and South Africa. In the long term, the population coefficient exhibits a negative and significant relationship with EPI. Maternal mortality rates were found to have 1% relevance, while health spending was deemed irrelevant. Both carbon emissions and the proportion of the population with improved water sources had a negative and significant impact on the environmental index. The findings underscore the conflicts between water demand and other explanatory variables on water stress in sub‐Saharan countries. Thus, the study recommends the urgent formulation of regional policies to effectively safeguard future generations from the threat of water poverty.
水资源压力和可持续性挑战:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
撒哈拉以南非洲被认为是最容易受到水问题影响的热点地区之一,因为该地区严重依赖农业。这项研究有三个目的。首先,它旨在评估影响撒哈拉以南国家环境绩效的驱动因素。其次,利用环境绩效指数(EPI) 2000年至2010年的现有数据(这是唯一完整且可获取的时间序列),研究了水资源短缺对撒哈拉以南国家可持续发展的影响。第三,它试图确定二氧化碳排放对EPI的影响。为了实现这些目标,本研究采用了一种经验动态自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法,并选择了撒哈拉以南非洲的一组国家来检验长期平衡和短期调整。结果表明,安哥拉、喀麦隆、加纳和南非的人口增长与EPI呈正相关。从长期来看,人口系数与EPI呈显著负相关。产妇死亡率被发现有1%的相关性,而卫生支出被认为无关紧要。碳排放和水源改善人口比例对环境指数均有显著负向影响。这些发现强调了撒哈拉以南国家的水需求与其他解释变量之间的冲突。因此,该研究建议紧急制定区域政策,以有效地保护后代免受水贫困的威胁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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