Synthetic reliability assessment for shipborne weapon based on dynamic population statistics

Abstract

To improve the precision of reliability assessment on shipborne weapon, the stochastic on environment, function, status, evolvement of shipborne weapon were studied, and a synthetic reliability assessment method for shipborne weapon based on dynamic population statistics was proposed. According to the character of the weapon system, the theory of dynamic population statistics was introduced to describe the relation of reliability between varied environments, varied objects and varied phases, and the reliability model was established. Then, based on the model, the test data from various environment conditions, various development phases, various structures and various objects were used to assess the reliability of shipborne weapon. The various test data is used synthetically to enlarge the sample size and increase the information for reliability assessment with the method. The present method is used to assess the reliability of one shipborne weapon. The result shows that the method is able to improve the precision of reliability assessment.