Collective Choices Affecting Natural Hazards Governance, Risk, and Vulnerability

T. Thaler, David D. Shively, J. Petersen-Perlman, L. Slavíková, T. Hartmann
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Abstract

The frequency and severity of extreme weather events are expected to increase due to climate change. These developments and challenges have focused the attention of policymakers on the question of how to manage natural hazards. The main political discourse revolves around the questions of how we can make our society more resilient for possible future events. A central challenge reflects collective choices, which affect natural hazards governance, risk, and individual and societal vulnerability. In particular, transboundary river basins present difficult and challenging decisions at local, regional, national, and international levels as they involve and engage large numbers of stakeholders. Each of these groups has different perspectives and interests in how to design and organize flood risk management, which often hinder transnational collaborations in terms of upstream–downstream or different riverbed cooperation. Numerous efforts to resolve these conflicts have historically been tried across the world, particularly in relation to institutional cooperation. Consequently, greater engagement of different countries in management of natural hazards risks could decrease international conflicts and increase capacity at regional and local levels to adapt to future hazard events. Better understanding of the issues, perspectives, choices, and potential for conflict, and clear sharing of responsibilities, is crucial for reducing impacts of future events at the transboundary level.
影响自然灾害治理、风险和脆弱性的集体选择
由于气候变化,极端天气事件的频率和严重程度预计会增加。这些发展和挑战使决策者的注意力集中在如何管理自然灾害的问题上。主要的政治话语围绕着我们如何使我们的社会对未来可能发生的事件更有弹性的问题。一个核心挑战反映了影响自然灾害治理、风险以及个人和社会脆弱性的集体选择。特别是,跨界河流流域涉及大量利益攸关方,因此在地方、区域、国家和国际各级提出了困难和具有挑战性的决定。这些团体在如何设计和组织洪水风险管理方面有不同的观点和兴趣,这往往会阻碍上下游或不同河床的跨国合作。历史上,世界各地曾尝试过许多解决这些冲突的努力,特别是在机构合作方面。因此,不同国家更多地参与自然灾害风险管理可以减少国际冲突,提高区域和地方各级适应未来灾害事件的能力。更好地了解问题、观点、选择和冲突的可能性,明确分担责任,对于减少未来事件在跨界一级的影响至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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