[Estimation of age-related fatality of influenza in Vienna 1970--1976 (author's transl)].

D Stur
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Abstract

Starting with the total number of deaths the figures of the annual basic mortality and the deaths in excess of the usual expectancy during winter are estimated; the latter are subdivided into a basic excess group and a top excess group. A similar grouping is done with influenza cases (figure 1). Table 1. shows the results of the winter seasons from 1970--71 to 1975--76. It is remarkable, that a season without excess cases of influenza as it was in 1973--74 is followed by a season with raised fatality rates (like a "catch-up-fatality"). Table 2 shows finally, that the top excess fatality in the age group 15--64 years is more than twice as high as the basic excess fatality. In elderly people the relation is inverse. It seems that the high basic excess fatality in the observed period in this age group is due to the high incidence of preexisting chronic diseases, fatally complicated by influenza.

[1970- 1976年维也纳与年龄相关的流感病死率估计(作者简介)]。
从死亡总人数开始,对年基本死亡率和冬季期间超出通常预期的死亡率进行了估计;后者又细分为基本过剩群和顶级过剩群。对流感病例也进行了类似的分组(图1)。为1970—71年至1975—76年冬季的结果。值得注意的是,在一个没有像1973- 74年那样出现过多流感病例的季节之后,又出现了一个死亡率上升的季节(就像“追赶型死亡”)。表2最后显示,15- 64岁年龄组的最高超额死亡率是基本超额死亡率的两倍多。在老年人中,这种关系是相反的。在观察期间,这一年龄组的高基本超额死亡率似乎是由于先前存在的慢性疾病的高发病率,致命的流感并发症。
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