Influence of Humidity on the Evolution of COVID-19 Daily Cases in Romania — Data Based Study

Abstract

Upon an active research regarding the influence of environmental factors on the COVID-19 infection rate, that denoted a divided opinion between a positive or negative influence in term of humidity and the SARS COV-2 virus spread, the authors were able to obtain a quantification effect of relative humidity (RH) influence on the spread of SARS COV-2 virus, in Romania, and consequently the influence of RH on the future number of daily COVID-19 positive cases. The discussed quantification was validated by means of computer software, and the aid of a mathematical model that predicts the outcome of COVID-19 disease on a horizon of 28 days, based on a complex neural network structure, trained using consistent data tracking the evolution of daily COVID-19 cases from March 2020 till October 2020, tool designed by the authors themselves. The validated quantification revealed that the maximum influence of RH on the increase of daily COVID-19 infections is between 60% - 70%, due to the temperate climate, while zero influence occurs at a RH higher than 90%.