Evacuation Model and Application for Emergency Events

Wenhua Song, Lingyun Zhu, Qinggong Li, Xiaodong Wang, Yang Liu, Ying-chao Dong
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

Under a unexpected disaster, The fundamental purpose of emergency evacuation is to take a scientific and effective evacuation strategy to maximize the population of the evacuation of the affected in the shortest time, and in which, the construction of evacuation routes and the distribution of evacuation intersection flow is the key of the realization of this purpose. In this paper, aiming at the problem of multi salvation points with priority, we study the issue of emergency evacuation from the perspective of mathematical analysis combining with interrelated algorithms of operations research and optimize network-flow-based analysis, and establish the emergency evacuation model in order to minimize the total evacuation time; also we bring forward the most short-circuit thinking based on discrete time , design the corresponding real-time dynamic algorithm to obtain the optimal solution of the target model , and establish the emergency evacuation decision-making system based on this model and the ArcGIS platform . This study has important practical significance for the prevention or reduction of accidents and emergency management, achieving fast, efficient and scientific decision-making and the protection of people's lives and property. At the same time it offers the reference for competent authorities for the development of emergency contingency plans and emergency evacuation.
紧急事件疏散模型及其应用
在突发灾害下,应急疏散的根本目的是采取科学有效的疏散策略,在最短的时间内最大限度地疏散受影响的人群,而疏散路线的建设和疏散路口人流的分布是实现这一目的的关键。本文针对多优先救助点问题,从数学分析的角度,结合运筹学的相关算法和基于优化网络流的分析,对应急疏散问题进行了研究,建立了以总疏散时间最小为目标的应急疏散模型;提出了基于离散时间的最短路思想,设计了相应的实时动态算法,得到目标模型的最优解,并基于该模型和ArcGIS平台建立了应急疏散决策系统。本研究对于预防或减少事故和应急管理,实现快速、高效、科学的决策,保护人民生命财产安全具有重要的现实意义。同时为主管部门制定应急预案和紧急疏散提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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