Software Implementation of Salt Reserves Simulation Model by AnyLogic Software Package

Abstract

This article raises the issue of salt reserves depletion in Ishimbai region of the Republic of Bashkortostan. To forecast this issue, it is proposed to develop a simulation model of salt reserves depletion in AnyLogic software package which takes into account factors that affect this depletion. With the help of these factors, it is possible to simulate the process of salt extraction with the display of depletion dynamics of these reserves in tabular and graphical form over the years, and also see how along with this parameter the well productivity, the number of commissioned wells, the number of conserved wells and other important parameters would change. Based on the initial data and derived mathematical dependencies, the remaining salt reserves and the number of working and conserved wells for 40 years were predicted. According to the obtained data, dependence diagrams of the number of working wells versus time for different values of salt reserves were constructed, and it was predicted for how many years there would be enough salt reserves from the number of wells being developed.