The Great Disruption: How Machine Intelligence Will Transform the Role of Lawyers in the Delivery of Legal Services

John O. McGinnis, Russell G. Pearce
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引用次数: 95

Abstract

This Article argues that machines are coming to disrupt the legal profession and that bar regulation cannot stop them. Part I describes the relentless growth of computer power in hardware, software, and data collection capacity. This Part emphasizes that machine intelligence is not a one-time event that lawyers will have to accommodate. Instead, it is an accelerating force that will invade an ever-larger territory and exercise a more firm dominion over this larger area. We then describe five areas in which machine intelligence will provide services or factors of production currently provided by lawyers: discovery, legal search, document generation, brief generation, and prediction of case outcomes. Superstars and specialists in fast changing areas of the law will prosper — and litigators and counselors will continue to profit — but the future of the journeyman lawyer is insecure. Part II discusses how these developments may create unprecedented competitive pressures in many areas of lawyering. This Part further shows that bar regulation will be unable to stop such competition. The legal ethics rules permit, and indeed where necessary for lawyers to provide competent representation, require lawyers to employ machine intelligence. Even though unauthorized practice of law statutes on their face prohibit nonlawyers’ use of machine intelligence to provide legal services to consumers, these laws have failed, and are likely to continue to fail, to limit the delivery of legal services through machine intelligence. As a result, we expect an age of unparalleled innovation in legal services and reject the view of commentators who worry that bar regulations are a significant stumbling block to technological innovation in legal practice. Indeed, in the long run, the role of machine intelligence in providing legal services will speed the erosion of lawyers’ monopoly on delivering legal services and will advantage consumers and society by making legal services more transparent and affordable.
大颠覆:机器智能将如何改变律师在提供法律服务中的角色
本文认为,机器正在扰乱法律行业,而法律法规无法阻止它们。第一部分描述了计算机在硬件、软件和数据收集能力方面不断增长的能力。本部分强调,机器智能不是律师必须适应的一次性事件。相反,它是一股加速的力量,它将入侵一个越来越大的领土,并在这个更大的地区行使更牢固的统治。然后,我们描述了机器智能将提供目前由律师提供的服务或生产要素的五个领域:发现、法律搜索、文件生成、简要生成和案件结果预测。在瞬息万变的法律领域,超级明星和专家将会获得成功——诉讼律师和顾问将继续获利——但熟练工律师的未来并不安全。第二部分讨论了这些发展如何在律师行业的许多领域造成前所未有的竞争压力。这部分进一步表明,律师监管将无法阻止这种竞争。法律伦理规则允许,并且确实在律师提供称职代理的必要情况下,要求律师使用机器智能。尽管未经授权的法律法规表面上禁止非律师使用机器智能向消费者提供法律服务,但这些法律在限制通过机器智能提供法律服务方面已经失败,而且很可能继续失败。因此,我们期待一个法律服务空前创新的时代,并拒绝评论员的观点,他们担心酒吧法规是法律实践中技术创新的重大绊脚石。事实上,从长远来看,机器智能在提供法律服务方面的作用将加速侵蚀律师在提供法律服务方面的垄断地位,并将使法律服务更加透明和负担得起,从而使消费者和社会受益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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