The transformation of outer space into a warfighting domain in the 21st century

B. Stojanovic
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Abstract

The article deals with the process of the transformation of outer space into a warfighting domain in the 21st century. During the Cold War, outer space was a place of understanding and peaceful competition between superpowers. Militarization has existed since the beginning of the Space Age, excluding the weaponization of space until the beginning of the 21st century. The absence of an international regime to prevent the weaponization of space and technological advances opens up new opportunities for states in their quest to increase power. The theoretical paradigm is a realistic perspective of international institutions as a reflection of the most powerful state?s minimum consensus on a mechanism for reducing their costs. Successfully tested anti-satellite weapons open new questions about the defense of vulnerable space installations from enemy attacks. The author's prognostic thesis refers to the new race in space weapons and the matter of time when lasers, plasma weapons, kinetic bombardment, and other types of space weapons will see the light of day. The strategic balance will remain untouched until the invention of a superior space weapon able to neutralize the existing offensive capacities of the states and erase the second strike capability appears. The author concludes that international institutions cannot limit the ambitions of states in conquering space because they do not want to give up that potential, but that a limited space war is unlikely.
21世纪外层空间向作战领域的转变
本文论述了21世纪外太空向作战领域转变的过程。冷战期间,外太空是超级大国之间相互理解和和平竞争的地方。自太空时代开始以来,军事化就已经存在,直到21世纪初才排除了太空武器化。由于缺乏一个防止空间武器化和技术进步的国际机制,各国在寻求增强实力时就有了新的机会。理论范式是一种现实的视角,将国际机构视为最强大国家的反映。美国就降低其成本的机制达成最低共识。成功测试的反卫星武器为防御脆弱的太空设施免受敌人攻击提出了新的问题。作者的预言是关于太空武器的新竞赛,以及激光、等离子武器、动能轰击和其他类型的太空武器问世的时间问题。战略平衡将保持不变,直到发明出一种先进的太空武器,能够抵消各国现有的进攻能力并消除第二次打击能力。作者的结论是,国际机构不能限制各国征服太空的野心,因为它们不想放弃这种潜力,但有限的太空战争是不可能的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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